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According to the \"AVA News Agency,\" there are reports that Giuliani fled Damascus with his family, a scenario Trump least wanted to witness. His anger turned towards Israel, with Rubio expressing \"grave concerns\" about Israel's strikes in Syria on the 16th. By the 18th, news of a ceasefire emerged, mirroring the Israel-Iran ceasefire. The unusual aspect was the United States Ambassador to Turkey announcing the ceasefire, indicating more countries are being drawn into the Middle Eastern turmoil.
展开剩余85%Israel's airstrikes were fierce: at least four missiles hit the Syrian Ministry of Defense building, sending steel and concrete blocks flying amidst lingering smoke. Live broadcasts were abruptly cut, with the last image showing the host yelling in panic, evading the chaos. Syria's reactions revealed two things.
Firstly, the Syrian situation is far from stable, with peace appearing more like a superficial facade. Conflict stemmed from clashes between Druze militia and Bedouin tribes, escalating with Israeli intervention targeting southern Syria, then swiftly moving towards Damascus, focusing on significant targets like the \"Presidential Palace\" and \"General Staff Headquarters.\" Despite the Israel-Iran ceasefire, Netanyahu remains uneasy, aiming not only to protect Syria's Druze symbolically but also to fragment Syria, preventing it from posing a substantive threat to Israel's security.
Secondly, Giuliani's haste exacerbated the conflict, which couldn't have escalated without Syria's government indifference. Banking on Western recognition of the regime and Israel's cessation of hostilities with Iran, Giuliani felt emboldened to support armed factions entering the Suwayda Province conflict, hoping to control all of Syria. However, Netanyahu needed a war to save himself, and Giuliani walked right into it.
Israeli airstrikes forced Giuliani into a defensive position, knowing full well the disparity in military strength between Syrian and Israeli forces. Moreover, Giuliani aimed to establish good relations with the US and Europe. US support for Giuliani's regime was contingent on improving relations with Israel, which Syria sought to appease with significant effect. Since the outbreak of the Syria conflict, the US has consistently pressured Israel to halt attacks on Syrian troops.
Notably, for US-Syria friendship, Trump first lifted sanctions on Syria and later overturned the designation of the Syrian Liberation Front as a \"terrorist organization.\" Washington invested heavily, but Netanyahu's airstrikes disrupted US Middle East plans. Washington won't allow Netanyahu's political calculations to overshadow US interests in Middle Eastern peace. As expected, on July 18th, the US Ambassador to Turkey announced a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Syria.
This move, akin to the Israel-Iran ceasefire, was the US announcing the ceasefire first as a third party. Neither Israel nor Iran responded immediately, suggesting the ceasefire was likely genuine, confirming analysts' speculations. Despite the intense Israel-Syria conflict, the situation is unlikely to escalate further. However, ceasefire doesn't imply conflict resolution; Trump's hope for normalization of Israel-Syria relations seems unlikely due to Syria's reluctance to relinquish sovereignty over the Golan Heights as demanded by Netanyahu.
Moreover, the US Ambassador to Turkey, known for its US-friendly stance and criticism of Israel, releasing the ceasefire message first, was not favorable for Israel. Netanyahu's actions were partly to prolong his political life through war.
However, Netanyahu blocked his own way out. Although both parties officially withdrew, threatening the ruling coalition's seats in parliament appeared overly cautious. Netanyahu still has three months to maneuver and has already seen an increase in support. If Gaza ceases fire, support rates could rise further. Netanyahu doesn't need to see war as the only option to extend his political life.
While the US and Israel are tightly bound in the Middle East, Trump aims to regain control. Clearly, amidst the chaotic situation in the Middle East, Israel has become the biggest destabilizing factor. Syria won't be the end of Netanyahu's ambitions unless the charges against him disappear. Giuliani is also in trouble, suspected of fleeing during wartime and proving unable to fully control Syria. The suppressed internal strife could easily resurge, and US support appears more like bait. The goal behind the scenes is likely a \"proxy,\" a firefight tearing the facade of peace between two countries, but the appeals are unbalanced, and how long can the ceasefire last?
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